Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.002402 0.002553 0.002714 0.002899 0.003108 0.003337 0.003610
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.002192 0.002401 0.002638 0.002927 0.003277 0.003694 0.004241
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.002055 0.002304 0.002598 0.002976 0.003462 0.004087 0.004985
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.001919 0.002187 0.002514 0.002951 0.003542 0.004349 0.005612
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001842 0.002132 0.002495 0.003000 0.003716 0.004761 0.006557
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001755 0.002055 0.002439 0.002989 0.003801 0.005051 0.007395
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001667 0.001970 0.002363 0.002938 0.003815 0.005228 0.008087
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001632 0.001948 0.002369 0.003004 0.004012 0.005743 0.009665
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001594 0.001921 0.002364 0.003049 0.004181 0.006245 0.011512
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001531 0.001856 0.002301 0.003000 0.004183 0.006430 0.012667
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001462 0.001778 0.002214 0.002907 0.004097 0.006417 0.013248
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001422 0.001740 0.002183 0.002899 0.004160 0.006733 0.015161
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001337 0.001636 0.002054 0.002729 0.003922 0.006363 0.014420
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001310 0.001614 0.002045 0.002755 0.004049 0.006857 0.017658
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001290 0.001601 0.002047 0.002798 0.004218 0.007510 0.023001
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001255 0.001564 0.002012 0.002776 0.004254 0.007835 0.027518
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001238 0.001553 0.002015 0.002820 0.004430 0.008622 0.039522
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001211 0.001524 0.001990 0.002810 0.004493 0.009100 0.053186
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001176 0.001485 0.001945 0.002764 0.004468 0.009292 0.065958
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001167 0.001482 0.001959 0.002824 0.004691 0.010454 0.156378
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001154 0.001474 0.001962 0.002864 0.004878 0.011630 1.263753
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001125 0.001440 0.001922 0.002820 0.004851 0.011897 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001090 0.001395 0.001864 0.002736 0.004715 0.011617 NaN